{"occupation":{"onet_code":"19-3011.00","soc_code":"19-3011","title":"Economists","description":"Conduct research, prepare reports, or formulate plans to address economic problems related to the production and distribution of goods and services or monetary and fiscal policy. May collect and process economic and statistical data using sampling techniques and econometric methods.","soc_major_group":"Life, Physical, & Social Science","median_wage":null,"bls_projection_10yr_pct":null,"bls_projection_10yr_abs":null,"n_empl_2024":177,"n_empl_2034":null,"tasks_json":null,"work_activities_json":null,"skills_json":null,"work_context_json":null,"is_candidate":0,"data_vintage":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-20 17:45:00","entry_education":"Master's degree","entry_level_wage":44070.0,"category":"Life, Physical, & Social Science"},"aliases":["economic advisor","economic analyst","economic consultant","economic development specialist","economist","economists","forensic economist","project economist","research economist","revenue research analyst","tax economist","think tank researcher"],"scores":{"exposure_score":0.7055,"displacement_score":null,"augmentation_score":0.2384,"aug_to_disp_ratio":34.55},"forecast":null,"risk_assessment":{"composite":{"composite_score":0.7055,"composite_level":"high","weights_used":{"felten_2023":0.4,"eloundou_2023":0.35,"eisfeldt_2024":0.25},"individual_scores":{"felten_2023":{"exposure_score":0.9705,"exposure_level":"high","task_level_scores_json":null,"trajectory_json":null,"source_version":"AIOE v2 (2023)","data_vintage":"2023","created_at":"2026-08-20 17:45:01","displacement_score":null,"augmentation_score":null,"horizon_short":null,"horizon_mid":null,"horizon_long":null},"eloundou_2023":{"exposure_score":0.5,"exposure_level":"medium","task_level_scores_json":null,"trajectory_json":null,"source_version":"GPTs-are-GPTs (2023)","data_vintage":"2023","created_at":"2026-08-20 17:45:01","displacement_score":null,"augmentation_score":null,"horizon_short":null,"horizon_mid":null,"horizon_long":null},"eisfeldt_2024":{"exposure_score":0.5692,"exposure_level":"medium","task_level_scores_json":null,"trajectory_json":null,"source_version":"Eisfeldt et al. (2024)","data_vintage":"2024","created_at":"2026-08-20 17:45:02","displacement_score":null,"augmentation_score":null,"horizon_short":null,"horizon_mid":null,"horizon_long":null}}},"methodologies":{"felten_2023":{"exposure_score":0.9705,"exposure_level":"high","task_level_scores_json":null,"trajectory_json":null,"source_version":"AIOE v2 (2023)","data_vintage":"2023","created_at":"2026-08-20 17:45:01","displacement_score":null,"augmentation_score":null,"horizon_short":null,"horizon_mid":null,"horizon_long":null},"eloundou_2023":{"exposure_score":0.5,"exposure_level":"medium","task_level_scores_json":null,"trajectory_json":null,"source_version":"GPTs-are-GPTs (2023)","data_vintage":"2023","created_at":"2026-08-20 17:45:01","displacement_score":null,"augmentation_score":null,"horizon_short":null,"horizon_mid":null,"horizon_long":null},"eisfeldt_2024":{"exposure_score":0.5692,"exposure_level":"medium","task_level_scores_json":null,"trajectory_json":null,"source_version":"Eisfeldt et al. (2024)","data_vintage":"2024","created_at":"2026-08-20 17:45:02","displacement_score":null,"augmentation_score":null,"horizon_short":null,"horizon_mid":null,"horizon_long":null}},"composite_se":{"composite_std_error":0.1541,"composite_95ci_lower":0.4034,"composite_95ci_upper":1.0,"n_published":3,"precision_disclosure":null}},"displacement_risk":{"displacement_risk":0.7055,"displacement_level":"high","explanation":"Displacement risk is High because: AI exposure is high (71%).","bls_projection":null,"friction_years":0},"temporal_forecast":{"near_term":{"horizon":"1-3 years","confidence":"medium-high","summary":"Based on current AI capability.","tasks_automatable_now":[]},"mid_term":{"horizon":"3-5 years","confidence":"medium","summary":"Based on current AI capability trajectory, additional tasks will become automatable.","tasks_automatable_next":[]},"long_term":{"horizon":"5-10+ years","confidence":"low","summary":"Long-term outlook is uncertain.","bls_projection":null},"friction_signals":{},"task_substitution_order":{"first_automated":[],"next":[],"last_automated":[]},"methodology_note":"Forecasts are directional, not precise. The 3-horizon framing matches how the academic literature discusses timing (Brynjolfsson/Rock/Syverson 2021; MGI 2023). Longer horizons carry lower confidence."},"posting_signals":[],"adjacent_careers":[{"onet_code":"19-3011.01","title":"Environmental Economists","skill_overlap":0.7,"explanation":null,"median_wage":null,"source":"curated"},{"onet_code":"25-1063.00","title":"Economics Teachers, Postsecondary","skill_overlap":0.7,"explanation":null,"median_wage":null,"source":"curated"},{"onet_code":"13-2051.00","title":"Financial and Investment Analysts","skill_overlap":0.7,"explanation":null,"median_wage":null,"source":"curated"},{"onet_code":"19-3094.00","title":"Political Scientists","skill_overlap":0.7,"explanation":null,"median_wage":null,"source":"curated"},{"onet_code":"11-3031.03","title":"Investment Fund Managers","skill_overlap":0.7,"explanation":null,"median_wage":null,"source":"curated"}],"has_strong_adjacency":true,"sources":[{"methodology":"felten_2023","source_version":"AIOE v2 (2023)","data_vintage":"2023","exposure_score":0.9705,"label":"Felten AIOE (2021/2023)"},{"methodology":"eloundou_2023","source_version":"GPTs-are-GPTs (2023)","data_vintage":"2023","exposure_score":0.5,"label":"Eloundou et al. \"GPTs are GPTs\" (2023)"},{"methodology":"eisfeldt_2024","source_version":"Eisfeldt et al. (2024)","data_vintage":"2024","exposure_score":0.5692,"label":"Eisfeldt et al. (2024)"}],"missing_methodologies":[],"coverage_bucket":"all_three","displacement_source":"heuristic-v1","displacement_is_fallback":true,"canonical_code":null,"people_like_you_count":0,"alias_interest_count":0}